Polymarket

Peer-to-peer prediction markets

Polymarket runs a prediction market where people trade on the outcome of real-world events across politics, economics, sports, culture and current affairs. It is built peer-to-peer with no central house taking the other side, so prices come from participants rather than from an operator setting a line. What the market produces is a transparent, continuously updated probability reflecting what a large group of people collectively expects — intended to serve as a reference point for the wider media, not only as a trading venue.